Market comments on behalf of Inki Cho Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
20th February 2025
Gold prices hit a new record high following the latest developments in trade policy. US President Donald Trump’s recent announcement of a new 25% tariff on key imports, including cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, sparked risk-off sentiment among investors, prompting a flight to safe-haven assets like gold.
However, the bullish trend could face headwinds if a deal with China materializes. Such an agreement could ease global trade tensions and reduce the demand for gold, potentially triggering selling pressure.
Meanwhile, the latest FOMC minutes add to market uncertainty. While rising concerns about changes in trade policy could improve gold’s outlook, it could also point to higher interest rates for longer, which would weigh on non-yielding assets.
On the geopolitical front, the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine adds another layer of complexity. The US started negotiations with Russia, raising hopes for a resolution. Steady progress in negotiations could strengthen risk appetite, putting pressure on gold. Conversely, any setbacks may reinforce gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.