South African Equities Rally, But Sectoral Weakness and Data Risks Remain

Today’s market analysis on behalf of Daniel Wesonga, Senior Sales Manager at Pepperstone

11th February 2025

South African equities remain bullish, with the JSE FTSE Top 40 Index closing up 0.36%, approaching the 80,000-point psychological level. However, the potential for a near-term correction looms, as profit-taking could weigh on market sentiment. Despite the overall positive momentum, 13 out of 20 sectors ended in the red, with producer manufacturing, process industries, and consumer durables losing 2.03%, 0.88%, and 0.82%, respectively. This sectoral divergence suggests a mixed outlook for the market, as weakness in cyclical sectors could dampen the broader rally.

On a more positive note, the electronic technology sector surged by 21.89%, while technology services and industrial services gained 0.82% and 0.79%, respectively. These sectors provided key support to the broader market, particularly technology, which remains a growth driver. Although the financial sector, including Firstrand Ltd, Capitec Bank Holdings, and Standard Bank Ltd, saw losses of 0.26%, 2.02%, and 0.80%, respectively, the strength in technology and industrial services continues to support the broad market.

Looking ahead, the focus is shifting to South Africa’s Manufacturing Production data for December, following a 2.6% year-on-year decline in November last year, the largest contraction since June. A drop in sectors such as motor vehicles and textiles contributed to this slowdown, indicating potential risks and headwinds for domestic equities. A further deterioration in industrial output could weigh on the market, but signs of recovery could provide much-needed support, particularly for cyclical sectors.