Market Analysis by Miro Svoboda, Investment Advisor, Harbourfront Wealth – Sonora Wealth Group
February 7, 2025 –
“Crude oil prices found support and edged higher after Saudi Aramco raised its prices, but the bearish outlook remains due to rising inventories and demand concerns. Crude oil inventories rose by almost 8.7 million barrels, pointing to a potentially oversupplied market.
Similarly, gasoline stocks rose by 2.2 million barrels, sitting slightly above the five-year average. However, distillate stocks fell by 5.5 million barrels and are now 12% below the five-year average, which could provide some bullish sentiment.
Falling derivatives production is exerting further downward pressure on crude oil prices. Meanwhile, crude oil imports rose to 6.9 million barrels per day, up from the previous week. If imports are sustained, Canadian oil exports could increase, boosting government revenues and economic growth, which could contribute to a bullish near-term outlook for Canadian assets.
However, ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China continue to dampen economic prospects, further weighing on oil prices. These tensions, together with recent stockpile data and slowing refinery demand, are likely to keep crude’s short-term outlook clouded.”
Miro Svoboda, Investment Advisor, Harbourfront Wealth – Sonora Wealth Group